The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has confirmed that
Nigeria is in its worst economic recession in 29 years.
According to the NBS gross domestic product (GDP) report for
the second quarter of 2016, Nigeria’s economy contracted by 2.06 percent to record
its lowest growth rate in three decades.
In the first quarter of 2016, the NBS said the economy
shrank by 0.36 percent to hit its lowest point in 25 years.
According to World Bank data, the last time Nigeria had this
magnitude of economic decline was under the regime of Ibrahim Babangida, when
the economy recorded consecutive decline of 0.51 percent and 0.82 percent in
first and second quarters of 1987.
“In the Second Quarter of 2016, the nation’s Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) declined by -2.06% (year-onyear) in real terms,” the NBS
revealed.
“This was lower by 1.70% points from the growth rate of
–0.36% recorded in the preceding quarter, and also lower by 4.41% points from
the growth rate of 2.35% recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2015.
“Quarter on quarter, real GDP increased by 0.82% During the
quarter, nominal GDP was N23,483,954.78 million (in nominal terms) at basic
prices. This was 2.73% higher than the Second Quarter 2015 value of
N22,859,153.01 million. This growth was lower than the rate recorded in the
Second Quarter of 2015 by 2.44% points.”
OIL DOWN, AGRICULTURE UP
The oil sector experience a decline of 17.48 percent, while
the agricultural sector grew by 13.24 percent within the quarter.
With the mining sector shrinking by 47.9 percent and
manufacturing falling by 1.02 percent, the general non-oil sector declined by
0.38 percent.
On the bright side, the “public administration sector grew
by 8.21% in the Second Quarter of 2016, higher by 10.86% points from the
corresponding quarter of 2015 and higher by 1.83% points relative to the First
Quarter of 2016″.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) had initially
predicted that the Nigerian economy will shrink by 1.8 percent in 2016.
With the current results from the NBS, Nigeria is beating
the IMF set bar at an aggregate GDP of 1.21 percent.
Vice President Yemi Osinbajo, the head of the nation’s
economic team, has said there is no cause for alarm, as his office and the
Buhari-led administration are working to make the second half of 2016 better
for Nigeria.

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